Climate change blamed in extreme shift from drought to flood in China

An extreme shift in weather in June across much of southern and eastern China has been put down to the effects of global warming and climate change. Usually light rains start in June in the middle and lower Yangtze valley leading in to the summer monsoonal rains and typhoon season, but this year torrential rains and storms struck on June 3 and have continued unleashing devastating floods, the worst in over 50 years.

Chen Zhenghong, senior engineer at the Meteorological Bureau of Central China's Hubei province, said the sharp shift between drought and flood in East and Central China was a result of global warming, according to a Xinhua News Agency report in China Daily on 17 June.

The floods follow the country's worst drought in half a century. From January to May, rainfall in the central and eastern provinces of Hubei, Hunan, Anhui, Jiangxi and Jiangsu was 40 to 60 percent lower than the seasonal average. Crops and vegetable production were down due to the drought producing inflated food prices. These floods will further damage many crops exacerbating food prices further.

During early June there has been torrential rains across 12 provinces in central and southern China. By June 8, floods had affected an estimated 4.81 million people. The heavy rains have continued in mid June forcing more than half a million people to evacuate in China’s central and eastern provinces. At least 175 people have now died from the floods with 86 more missing. The floods have affected 36.57 million people and left 1.64 million displaced in 510 counties in the provinces of Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Fujian, Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan, Guangdong, Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, the Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region and the Chongqing municipality according to a Ministry of Civil Affairs statement from Monday reported the China Daily on 21st June.

For the city of Zhuji the torrential rain has produced the highest precipitation since meteorological data has been collected according to the city's deputy chief meteorologist Zhou Yongzhong reported in China Daily on 18th June. The Zhuji district has had 40.5cm of rain since the start of the month.

With 660 dams at capacity in East China's Anhui province, the Chinese Government has ordered sluice gates open sending floodwaters downstream to innundate farms, villages and cities. On June 17 the Chinese government upgraded it's emergency response to level 4, the highest level, sending disaster relief teams to the worst affected provinces of Zhejiang, Anhui and Jiangxi.

Chinese officials say the floods will only have a limited impact on rice production this year and will not threaten the country's food supply. But the prices of fruit, vegetables and other agricultural products are likely to surge because of the disastrous weather, according to Ma Wenfeng, a senior analyst at Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Ltd, a major agricultural consulting company reported in China Daily.

At least 10 major rivers in the affected areas were threatening to burst their banks according to Water Resources Minister Chen Lei, "Severe floods triggered by heavy rains will continue to threaten parts of southern China," he said on Sunday on the ministry's website according to China Daily, "There is an increasing possibility that downpours with enhanced frequency and intensity will continue to lash regions in the south."

According to a report by German reinsurance company Munich Re the number of annual weather related disasters in China including violent storms, floods, extreme temperatures, droughts and forest fires has surged to about 48 by 2010 from around 11 in the early 1980s.

The Head of Munich Re's Georisk Research, Peter Hoeppe, outlined the long term trend and risk associated with climate change, "The devastating floods in China are of a dramatic dimension -- a phenomenon that has unfortunately occurred in China with increasing frequency over the last few decades. Every year, millions of Chinese are victims of weather-related natural catastrophes. And the risk is steadily growing, for climate change harbours the potential for torrential downpours while the risk of drought in certain regions is also on the rise." he said in an email reported by AFP on 21 June.

A report by the Chinese climate Centre two years ago provided to the Guardian warned of rainfall coming in shorter, fiercer bursts, interspersed by protracted periods of drought. The IPCC has warned that increasding global temperatures will see an increase in the frequency and intensity of floods, drought and storms.

A study - Detection of human influence on twentieth-century
precipitation trends
(PDF) - published in July 2007 in Nature, concluded "that anthropogenic forcing has had a detectable and attributable influence on the latitudinal pattern of large-scale precipitation change over the part of the twentieth century that we were able to analyse. Our best estimate of the response to anthropogenic forcing suggests (Fig. 1b) that anthropogenic forcing has contributed approximately 50–85% (5–95% uncertainty) of the observed 1925–1999 trend in annual total land precipitation between 40u N and 70u N (62 mm per century), 20–40% of the observed drying trend in the northern subtropics and tropics (0u to 30uN; a decrease of 98 mm per century) and most (75–120%) of the moistening trend in the southern tropics and subtropics (0u to 30u S; 82 mm per century)."

The floods in China follow significant rain and flood events in the US Midwest threatening 2 nuclear power plants, Brazil, Philippines, Queensland and Victoria and Pakistan. According to US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 2010 was the wettest year globally.



Its hot thats climate change
Its cold thats climate change
Its raining thats climate change
Its not raining thats climate change
Its flooded thats climate change
Its a drought thats climate change
What happened to good weather and shit weather?
Flood event WTF is an event it is something that happens or something important that happens it is the climatephobia Greenies that think it is important the rest of us just call it weather good or shit whatever the case may be "Wankers"

You don't get it do you? This is an extreme weather event that has affected millions of people.

Munich Re, the world's largest reinsurance firm (who keep track of the number and type of disasters to assess risk as a key part of their business) says the clear trend is that there are now many more extreme weather events ocurring in China (indeed, and globally) than 30 years ago. That is a clear climate trend - a change in the climate due to increased global temperatures, more active hydrological cycle caused primarily by the burning of fossil fuels.

Anthropogenic global warming is clearly discerned from the measurements of CO2 in the atmosphere. See for yourself at the CSIRO's Cape Grim Greenhouse gas data website. And very little of this CO2 is from volcanic origin - the scientists measure the isotropic content of the CO2 to determine it's origin.

Takver your the one that don't get it, CO2 has increased since 2000 but the temperature of the globe has dropped so CO2 has nothing to do with warning,Glaciers are not melting they are growing in size and the sea level has not risen you listen to the rubbish that those criminal scientists at the IPCC speak they are given grants by the Government to lie to every one and if they dont lie the grant is taken off them.31487 scientist in America have have signed a petition saying man-made climate change is non existant there a lot more around the world that say the same thing but you want to listen to what less than 30 scientist in the IPCC that are rigging scientific results.Takver you are a fool the game will be up very soon when this information becomes public.Takver who pays you to spread these lies?is it Al Gore?

just about every thing you just wrote is transparently inaccurate... it takes all of a few seconds to fact check.

out of interest what's your opinion on evolution?

Yarr can you give more information on what facts are inaccurate? Tell me where the sea level is rising.Do you believe the Himalaya glaciers will be gone by 2035?are you going to tell me the glaciers are not growing in the south pole which is 90% of the worlds ice?when you are checking facts I hope you don't count what the Green peace mouth peace IPCC say who use green peace members to write papers and then review their own work who are not scientists at all.

I have not researched the evolution theory because I have not seen anything with my own eyes that contradicts what they say, unlike global warming so for now the theory of evolution sit well with me but I am more into facts that I can see with my own eyes than theories or computer generated hypothesis (guess work)which are only as good as the information you feed the computer.

Hi Terry,
see my full reply here for all relevant links

Most glaciers are melting, Greenland ice sheet is melting, 2010 was the hottest year on record according to NASA and NOAA, second hottest according to JMO, with the last decade being the warmest on record.

I would personally rather believe the thousands of scientists who contributed to the IPCC, and more recent scientific research (which I often reference at the bottom of my posts) than someone anonymously disputing the science with no references to reputable scientific research.

check it out whats going on here who is bull shitting who and why?

You use wikipedia as reference that shows us how smart you are do you believe in the tooth fairy too?