Overnight, Afghanistan has gone from being a political pariah to one of the most significant, and potentially richest, countries on the globe. But can the rocky, war-torn desert - known mostly for harboring terrorists and exporting opium - be reborn as a major commodities exporter?
U.S. geologists have found some $1 trillion of untapped mineral deposits in Afghanistan, The New York Times reported Sunday. Afghanistan's mineral wealth includes large caches of iron, copper, gold and lithium that could turn the country into one of the most important mining centers in the world.
Think of Australia, Canada, and Latin America. That is the league into which these geographical revelations have thrust Afghanistan.
"There is stunning potential here," General David Petraeus, commander of the United States Central Command, told The Times. "There are a lot of ifs, of course, but I think potentially it is hugely significant."
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Great article on subject from World Socialist Web
Washington âdiscoversâ Afghanistanâs mineral wealth
By Alex Lantier
15 June 2010
For anyone who was still undecided, the New York Times has made it official: the war in Afghanistan is an imperialist war of plunder. This is the inescapable conclusion of yesterdayâs lead article, âUS Discovers Mineral Riches in Afghanistan,â on Pentagon plans to hand over Afghan mineral resources to major mining corporations and financial firms.
The New York Times cited âsenior American government officialsâ saying that US surveying teams had found ânearly $1 trillion in untapped mineral deposits in Afghanistan.â At current market prices, this includes $421 billion in iron ore, $274 billion in copper, $81 billion in niobium (a metal used in producing superconducting steel), $51 billion in cobalt, $25 billion in gold, $24 billion in molybdenum, and $7.4 billion in ârare earth elements.â The Times left out the value of Afghanistanâs extensive supplies of gemstones and natural gas.
Nonetheless, it concluded that Afghanistan might âbe transformed into one of the most important mining centers in the world.â
This bonanza is safely in the hands of the US military and major transnational corporations, the Times explained. âInternational accounting firmsâ are consulting with the Afghan Ministry of Mines to prepare technical data âto turn over to multinational mining companies and other potential foreign investors. The Pentagon is helping Afghan officials arrange to start seeking bids on mineral rights by next fall, officials said.â
Under-Secretary of Defense Paul Brinkley told the Times: âThe Ministry of Mines is not ready to handle this. We are trying to help them to get ready.â
The claim that the Pentagon is âhelpingâ the Ministry of Mines is a lie. In fact, the Ministry of Mines is apparently being kept in the dark about the contents of the survey. Contacted yesterday by Bloomberg News to obtain a statement on the Times report, Deputy Mines Minister Abdul Qudus Hamidi said the Ministry of Mines could not âcomment until it receives a copy of the survey.â
More broadly, the Pentagon is mainly interested in âhelpingâ the Ministry of Mines decide who will get Afghanistanâs riches. US officials and the Times both made clear that Chinese mining firms are not acceptable buyers.
The Times wrote: âJust last year, Afghanistanâs minister of mines [Muhammad Ibrahim Adel] was accused by American officials of accepting a $30 million bribe to award China the rights to develop its [Aynak] copper mine. The minister has since been replaced. ... American officials fear resource-hungry China will try to dominate the development of Afghanistanâs mineral wealth, which could upset the United States.â
Such statements suggest some of the broader geopolitical interests motivating Washingtonâs occupation of Afghanistan. In the struggle to grab Afghanistanâs raw materials and cheap labor and deny them to its rivals, Washington intends to fully exercise its one main advantage: it has more boots on the ground than its rivals.
This February, after Adel was forced out over the Aynak license, Kabul canceled bidding on the massive Hajigak iron mine. Business Week explained, âIndian and Chinese companies eager to tie up resources for the worldâs two fastest-growing major economies had sought the Hajigak deposit ... China has wrestled with the worldâs main iron ore suppliersâBrazilâs Vale SA, London- based Rio Tinto Plc and Australiaâs BHP Billiton Ltdâin an attempt to circumvent rising global prices.â
Iron ore prices have skyrocketed as BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto, and Vale have succeeded in bidding up prices in recent years, since the main importer of iron oreâChinaâis completely dependent on their supplies. They demanded 90-100 percent price increases for iron ore this spring, after several years of comparable price increases. Xinhua reported that Chinese steel firms would pay $110-$120 per ton of imported iron ore, compared to $62 per ton last year.
Nor is the iron ore market the only one in which control of Afghan mines might prove decisive. The Timesâ article yesterday reported that deposits of lithiumâan essential material for laptop and smart-phone batteriesâin Afghanistanâs Ghazni province alone could rival those of Bolivia, which currently has the worldâs largest reserves. The Times cited an internal Pentagon memo describing Afghanistan as the âSaudi Arabia of lithium,â that is, a country whose production (of oil, in the Saudi case) would determine world market prices.
A frank exposition of how US wars benefit parasitic corporate and financial interests would provoke mass outrage, in the US and abroad. As a result, the Times ludicrously presented Washingtonâs interest in Afghan mineral wealth as the product of the lucky work of a few isolated US geologists, who arrived in Afghanistan in 2004.
Having âstumbled across an intriguing series of old chartsâ in Afghan libraries, they commandeered an âold Navy Orion P-3 aircraftâ thatâin a fit of absent-mindedness, perhaps?âhad been fitted with âadvanced gravity and magnetic measuring equipment.â Having flown over â70 percent of the country,â they produced a report noting that they had discovered âastonishingâ mineral wealth, and returned with a more sophisticated British aircraft for further exploration in 2007. Their work, according to the Times, then âgathered dustâ for two years in US offices.
In fact the US government was well aware, as it invaded Afghanistan, that it was invading a country with vast mineral riches. Despite the Timesâ deceptive presentation of the matter, its account objectively shows that US and NATO officials have been carefully studying and documenting these resources for years, as the war progressed. As for the Timesâ absurd presentation, US documents show that Washington has long been aware of Afghanistanâs riches.
Under âResources,â the first chapter of the US governmentâs 1986 Country Study on Afghanistan lists the following: âWide variety of mineral resourcesânatural gas, coal, copper, iron, barite, chrome, and lapis lazuli. Petroleum discoveries and uranium finds reported.â
A 2002 State Department report, quoted by the WSWS, noted: âAfghanistan is endowed with a wealth of natural resources, including extensive deposits of natural gas, petroleum, coal, copper, chromite, talc, barites, sulfur, lead, zinc, iron ore, salt, and precious and semiprecious stonesâ (See: âOil and âconspiracy theoriesâ: a reply to a liberal apologist for the US war in Afghanistanâ).
This begs the question of why the US government and the Times have waited until now to report this discovery. What are the reasons for this sudden announcement?
The Times writes, âAmerican and Afghan officials agreed to discuss the mineral discoveries at a difficult moment in the war in Afghanistan. Noting the failure of NATO military operations to crush resistance in the Afghan city of Marja, it adds, âthe Obama administration is hungry for some positive news to come out of Afghanistan.â In other words, this is a bit of âgood newsâ that NATO governments think they can peddle to their populations to reconcile them to an unpopular war.
At the same time, the Times makes it clear it hopes the announcement will inspire even greater violence against anti-occupation forces.
It laid out this policy in its lead editorial yesterday, calling for a more aggressive policy in Afghanistan. Frustrated with Afghan President Hamid Karzaiâs negotiations with the Taliban and US General Stanley McChrystalâs decision to put off an offensive against the city of Kandahar until autumn, it wrote: âWe donât know if the Taliban leaders will ever compromise. But we are sure they will only consider it under duress. General McChrystal is going to have to do a much better job in Kandahar. Mr. Karzai is going to have to drop his illusions and commit to the fight.â
From the standpoint of intensifying combat between Karzaiâs troops and the Taliban, the mineral announcement also could help. As the Times notes, ânewfound mineral wealth could lead the Taliban to battle even more fiercely to regain control of the country.â In short, the news may provoke more bloodshed, which the Times wantsâand help keep Karzai in line with US demands, by implicitly offering him a piece of the mining money, if he wins.
These events powerfully confirm the critique of the social character of American militarism made by the World Socialist Web Site prior to the September 11 attacks that marked the beginning of the US âwar on terror.â
After the 1999 US war against Serbia, the statement âAfter the Slaughter: Political Lessons of the Balkan Warâ addressed the rising inter-imperialist conflicts of the time. Noting the origins of World War I and World War II in the struggle of âdifferent imperialist countries over markets, raw materials, and related strategic interests,â it stated:
âThe increasing frequency of military outbreaks during the 1990s is an objective symptom of an approaching international conflagration. Both World War I and World War II were preceded by a series of local or regional conflicts. As the major imperialist powers seek to expand their influence into the regions opened up for capitalist penetration by the collapse of the USSR, the likelihood of conflicts between them increases. At stake in major disputesâsuch as those that will inevitably arise over the allocation of booty from the oil of the Caspian and Caucasian regionsâwill be life-and-death issues of world power and position. Such issues do not, by their very nature, lend themselves to peaceful resolution. The basic tendency of imperialism moves inexorably in the direction of a new world war.â
With the Timesâ recent article, the same contradictions emerge publicly today. The difference, as the WSWS statement predicted, is that the world is far closer to direct conflict between the major powersâwith international relations destabilized by the world economic crisis, US occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan, and the entire Middle East on hair-trigger alertâas the US, other NATO countries, and the rising powers in Asia continue to compete for access to raw materials, labor and markets worldwide.
http://www.wsws.org/articles/2010/jun2010/afgh-j15.shtml